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Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces 2024 Fourth Quarter and Year End Results

06.03.2025  |  Newsfile

Calgary, March 6, 2025 - Canadian Natural's (TSX: CNQ) (NYSE: CNQ) President, Scott Stauth, commented on the Company's 2024 fourth quarter and year end results, "2024 was an excellent year for us, as we achieved strong growth and set several new production records from our base operations, before including acquisitions that closed in 2024. Additionally, including acquisitions, we achieved record annual average production of over 1,363,000 BOE/d in 2024, which includes record annual liquids production of over one million barrels per day. At our world class Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets, we achieved record quarterly and annual Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO") production of approximately 535,000 bbl/d and 472,000 bbl/d respectively. This strong operational performance resulted in a high annual utilization rate of 99%, anchored by industry leading SCO operating costs of $20.97/‍bbl (US$15.00/bbl) for Q4/24 and $22.88/bbl (US$16.70/bbl) for full year 2024, which drove significant free cash flow in the year. Thermal in situ production also reached record annual production levels of approximately 271,000 bbl/d combined with strong operating costs of $11.04/bbl (US$8.06/bbl). Our conventional crude oil and liquids-rich natural gas operations continue to provide significant free cash flow with further potential for flexible organic growth. When combined with our entire portfolio, we have significant organic growth opportunities.

Following the previously announced acquisition at the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP") that closed in December 2024, and the AOSP swap transaction targeted to close in the first half of 2025, Canadian Natural's working interest will be 100% in the Albian mines and 80% in the non-operated Scotford Upgrader. Further, when combined with Horizon, our total oil sands mining production capacity is currently targeted at approximately 592,000 bbl/d, up from 570,000 bbl/d, following completion of the Horizon Reliability Enhancement Project and the Debottleneck Project at the Scotford Upgrader in 2024. These acquisitions are immediately cash flow accretive and when combined with the production capacity increases, drive significant value to shareholders for decades with no production decline. With our long history of driving value through continuous improvement that is engrained in our culture, we remain focused on delivering additional value from these world class assets, providing incremental and sustainable free cash flow.

Canadian Natural's reserves compete on a global scale supporting long-term organic growth opportunities, with total proved reserves of 15.2 billion BOE and total proved plus probable reserves of 20.1 billion BOE as of year end 2024, both of which increased 9% from year end 2023 levels. With approximately 74% of the Company's total proved reserves being long life low decline, the strength and depth of our assets is evident and provides us with a total proved reserves life index ("RLI") of 33 years and a total proved plus probable RLI of 44 years. This includes Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading reserves that have a total proved RLI of 43 years, providing significant production for decades.

We have a long track record of consistently delivering strong, industry leading results driven by our safe, reliable operations and relentless focus on continuous improvement, which maximizes long-term shareholder value."

Canadian Natural's Chief Financial Officer, Mark Stainthorpe, added "In 2024, we delivered strong financial results, with annual adjusted net earnings of approximately $7.4 billion and adjusted funds flow of $14.9 billion, including Q4/24 adjusted net earnings of approximately $2.0 billion and adjusted funds flow of $4.2 billion. We returned approximately $7.1 billion to shareholders in 2024, inclusive of our sustainable and growing dividend and share repurchases. We increased our quarterly dividend twice in 2024 and subsequent to year end, the Board approved a 4% increase to $2.35 per common share annualized, with 2025 being the 25th consecutive year of dividend increases by Canadian Natural, with a compound annual growth rate ("CAGR") of 21% over that time.

After the recent acquisitions, our US$ WTI breakeven remains top tier in the low to mid-$40 per barrel range and our balance sheet remains strong with year end metrics including Debt to Book Capitalization at 32% and Debt to Adjusted EBITDA at 1.1x. Our large, diverse portfolio is supported by long life low decline assets, which drive top tier operating costs and low maintenance capital. When combined, it results in significant and sustainable free cash flow that we can repeat for decades."

KEY 2024 ANNUAL OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

KEY 2024 FOURTH QUARTER OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

CREATING LONG-TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE

(1) Operating costs are calculated as production expense divided by respective sales volumes. Natural gas and NGLs production volumes approximate sales volumes.

HIGHLIGHTS



Three Months Ended

Year Ended
($ millions, except per common share amounts)
Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Net earnings $ 1,138
$ 2,266
$ 2,627
$ 6,106
$ 8,233
Per common share (1) - basic $ 0.54
$ 1.07
$ 1.22
$ 2.87
$ 3.77

- diluted $ 0.54
$ 1.06
$ 1.21
$ 2.85
$ 3.74
Adjusted net earnings from operations (2) $ 1,977
$ 2,071
$ 2,546
$ 7,414
$ 8,533
Per common share (1) - basic (3) $ 0.94
$ 0.98
$ 1.18
$ 3.49
$ 3.91

- diluted (3) $ 0.93
$ 0.97
$ 1.17
$ 3.46
$ 3.87
Cash flows from operating activities $ 3,432
$ 3,002
$ 4,815
$ 13,386
$ 12,353
Adjusted funds flow (2) $ 4,186
$ 3,921
$ 4,419
$ 14,859
$ 15,274
Per common share (1) - basic (3) $ 1.99
$ 1.85
$ 2.05
$ 6.99
$ 7.00

- diluted (3) $ 1.97
$ 1.84
$ 2.03
$ 6.94
$ 6.93
Cash flows used in investing activities $ 10,414
$ 1,274
$ 946
$ 14,095
$ 4,858
Net capital expenditures (4) $ 10,348
$ 1,349
$ 975
$ 14,431
$ 4,909
Net capital expenditures, excluding net acquisition costs (5) $ 1,290
$ 1,349
$ 1,019
$ 5,286
$ 4,883
Abandonment expenditures $ 151
$ 204
$ 149
$ 646
$ 509
Daily production, before royalties









Natural gas (MMcf/d)
2,283

2,049

2,231

2,147

2,151
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d)
1,090,002

1,021,572

1,047,541

1,005,603

973,530
Equivalent production (BOE/d) (6)
1,470,428

1,363,086

1,419,313

1,363,496

1,332,105
(1) Per common share and dividend amounts have been updated to reflect the two for one common share split. Further details are disclosed in the Advisory section of the Company's MD&A and in the financial statements for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 dated March 5, 2025.
(2) Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 dated March 5, 2025.
(3) Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 dated March 5, 2025.
(4) Non-GAAP Financial Measure. The composition of this measure was updated in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2023 and has been updated for all periods presented. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 dated March 5, 2025.
(5) Calculated as net capital expenditures, less net property acquisitions (dispositions) for exploration and evaluation assets and property, plant and equipment for Exploration and Production and Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, as reported in the Company's MD&A.
(6) A barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE") is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas to one barrel ("bbl") of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, or to compare the value ratio using current crude oil and natural gas prices since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.

ANNUAL HIGHLIGHTS

(1) Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this press release and the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 dated March 5, 2025.

QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS

RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS

A key differentiator for Canadian Natural is the strength, diversity and balance of its world class, top tier assets. The Company's total proved reserve life index ("RLI")(1) of 33 years is supported by long life low decline assets that have been strategically assembled and developed over several decades. The low maintenance capital requirements relative to the size and quality of the reserves affords the Company significant flexibility when balancing its four pillars of capital allocation to maximize shareholder value.

The Company's reserves were evaluated and reviewed by Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluators ("IQREs"). The following highlights are based on the Company's reserves using forecast prices and costs at December 31, 2024 (all reserves values are Company Gross unless stated otherwise).

(1) Supplementary financial measure. Refer to the "2024 Year End Reserves" section of this document.

OPERATIONS REVIEW AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Canadian Natural has a balanced and diverse portfolio of assets, primarily Canadian-based, with international exposure in the UK section of the North Sea and Offshore Africa. Canadian Natural's production is well balanced between light crude oil, medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil) and SCO (herein collectively referred to as "crude oil") and natural gas and NGLs. This balance provides optionality for capital investments, maximizing value for the Company's shareholders.

Underpinning this asset base is the Company's long life low decline production, representing approximately 77% of total budgeted liquids production in 2025, the majority of which is zero decline high value SCO production from the Company's world class Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets. The remaining balance of the Company's long life low decline production comes from its top tier thermal in situ oil sands operations and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil assets. The combination of these long life low decline assets, low reserves replacement costs, and effective and efficient operations results in substantial and sustainable adjusted funds flow throughout the commodity price cycle.

In addition, Canadian Natural maintains a substantial inventory of low capital exposure projects within the Company's conventional asset base. These projects can be executed quickly and, in the right economic conditions, provide excellent returns and maximize value for our shareholders. Supporting these projects is the Company's undeveloped landbase which enables large, repeatable drilling programs that can be optimized over time. Additionally, Canadian Natural maximizes long-‍term value by maintaining high ownership and operatorship of its assets, allowing the Company to control the nature, timing and extent of development. Low capital exposure projects can be stopped or started relatively quickly depending upon success, market conditions or corporate needs.

Canadian Natural's balanced portfolio, built with both long life low decline assets and low capital exposure assets, enables effective capital allocation, production growth and value creation.

Drilling Activity
Year Ended


December 31, 2024

December 31, 2023
(number of wells)
Gross

Net

Gross

Net
Crude oil (1)
313

307

228

221
Natural gas
94

78

78

61
Dry
2

2

2

2
Subtotal
409

387

308

284
Stratigraphic test / service wells
474

407

481

419
Total
883

794

789

703
Success rate (excluding stratigraphic test / service wells)


99 %



99 %
(1) Includes bitumen wells.

North America Exploration and Production

Crude oil and NGLs - excluding Thermal In Situ Oil Sands








Three Months Ended

Year Ended


Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Crude oil and NGLs production (bbl/d)
255,729

228,221

243,157

238,277

234,100
Net wells targeting crude oil
84

59

42

214

173
Net successful wells drilled
84

58

42

213

171
Success rate
100 %

98 %

100 %

99 %

99 %
North America Natural Gas








Three Months Ended

Year Ended


Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Natural gas production (MMcf/d)
2,273

2,039

2,218

2,136

2,139
Net wells targeting natural gas
14

24

9

79

61
Net successful wells drilled
14

24

9

78

61
Success rate
100 %

100 %

100 %

99 %

100 %
Thermal In Situ Oil Sands








Three Months Ended

Year Ended


Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Bitumen production (bbl/d)
276,231

271,551

278,422

271,011

262,000
Net wells targeting bitumen
16

25

-

94

50
Net successful wells drilled
16

25

-

94

50
Success rate
100 %

100 %

- %

100 %

100 %

North America Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading



Three Months Ended

Year Ended


Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Synthetic crude oil production (bbl/d) (1)(2)
534,631

497,656

500,133

472,245

451,339
(1) SCO production before royalties and excludes production volumes consumed internally as diesel.
(2) Consists of heavy and light synthetic crude oil products.


International Exploration and Production



Three Months Ended

Year Ended


Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Crude oil production (bbl/d)
23,411

24,144

25,829

24,070

26,091
Natural gas production (MMcf/d)
10

10

13

11

12

MARKETING



Three Months Ended

Year Ended


Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023


Dec 31
2024


Dec 31
2023

Benchmark Commodity Prices














WTI benchmark price (US$/bbl) (1) $ 70.27
$ 75.16
$ 78.33
$ 75.72
$ 77.61
WCS heavy differential (discount) to
WTI (US$/bbl) (1)
$ (12.55 ) $ (13.51 ) $ (21.90 ) $ (14.73 ) $ (18.62 )
WCS heavy differential as a percentage of
WTI (%) (1)

18 %

18 %

28 %

19 %

24 %
Condensate benchmark price (US$/bbl) $ 70.66
$ 71.24
$ 76.22
$ 72.94
$ 76.55
SCO price (US$/bbl) (1) $ 71.13
$ 76.51
$ 78.64
$ 75.09
$ 79.64
SCO premium (discount) to WTI (US$/bbl) (1) $ 0.86
$ 1.35
$ 0.31
$ (0.63 ) $ 2.03
AECO benchmark price (C$/GJ) $ 1.38
$ 0.77
$ 2.52
$ 1.36
$ 2.77
Realized Prices









Exploration & Production liquids realized price
(C$/bbl) (2)(3)(4)(5)
$ 75.22
$ 79.15
$ 69.39
$ 77.76
$ 72.36
SCO realized price (C$/bbl) (1)(3)(4)(5) $ 95.08
$ 100.93
$ 98.73
$ 98.03
$ 100.06
Natural gas realized price (C$/Mcf) (4) $ 2.02
$ 1.25
$ 2.80
$ 1.86
$ 3.10
(1) West Texas Intermediate ("WTI"); Western Canadian Select ("WCS"); Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO").
(2) Exploration & Production crude oil and NGLs average realized price excludes SCO.
(3) Pricing is net of blending costs.
(4) Excludes risk management activities.
(5) Non-GAAP ratio. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 dated March 5, 2025.

CORPORATE UPDATE

One of Canadian Natural's many strengths is our strong and deep leadership team. The Company takes a very proactive disciplined approach to succession, with well-planned and successful transitions, ensuring we maintain our strong corporate culture and top tier performance.

As part of ongoing management succession on April 30th, 2025, Mark Stainthorpe, Chief Financial Officer will become Executive Advisor, Finance and Victor Darel, currently Senior Vice President, Finance and Principal Accounting Officer will be promoted to Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer.

Victor Darel is a Chartered Professional Accountant and has over 20 years of Finance and Accounting experience in both the public and private sectors. Victor has been with Canadian Natural for 11 years with increasing responsibilities in his roles over that time including as Senior Vice President, Finance and Principal Accounting Officer.

Mark Stainthorpe will continue to work together with the Finance and Investor Relations teams in his new role as Executive Advisor.

Sheryl Kapeluck, Vice President, Finance, Corporate will be promoted to the role of Senior Vice President, Finance and will join the Management Committee. Sheryl is a Chartered Professional Accountant with over 25 years of professional experience and has been with Canadian Natural for 14 years.

Scott Stauth, commenting on the succession stated, "Both Victor and Sheryl have brought a significant amount of expertise to their current roles, and we look forward to the contributions they will be making in their new positions as CFO and SVP Finance respectively. We thank Mark for his 6 years as our CFO and for the leadership Mark has provided as a key member of our Management Committee."

2024 YEAR END RESERVES

Determination of Reserves

For the year ended December 31, 2024, the Company retained IQREs, Sproule International Limited and GLJ Ltd., to evaluate and review all of the Company's proved and proved plus probable reserves. The evaluation and review was conducted and prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook. The reserves disclosure is presented in accordance with NI 51-101 requirements using forecast prices and escalated costs.

The Reserves Committee of the Company's Board of Directors has met with and carried out independent due diligence procedures with the IQREs as to the Company's reserves.

Additional reserves information is disclosed in the Company's Annual Information Form.

Summary of Company Gross Reserves

As of December 31, 2024
Forecast Prices and Costs


Light and
Medium
Crude Oil
(MMbbl)
Primary
Heavy
Crude Oil
(MMbbl)
Pelican Lake
Heavy
Crude Oil
(MMbbl)
Bitumen
(Thermal Oil)
(MMbbl)
Synthetic
Crude Oil
(MMbbl)
Natural Gas
(Bcf)
Natural Gas
Liquids
(MMbbl)
Barrels of Oil
Equivalent
(MMBOE)
Total Company







Proved







Developed Producing 118 123 202 631 7,567 5,034 172 9,652
Developed Non-Producing 5 7 - 78 - 246 9 140
Undeveloped 129 88 53 2,603 96 11,625 533 5,440
Total Proved 252 219 255 3,312 7,663 16,904 713 15,231
Probable 94 99 105 1,878 593 10,252 403 4,879
Total Proved plus Probable 346 318 360 5,190 8,255 27,156 1,116 20,110


Notes to Reserves:

  1. Company Gross reserves are working interest share before deduction of royalties and excluding any royalty interests.

  2. Information in the reserves data tables may not add due to rounding. BOE values and oil and natural gas metrics may not calculate exactly due to rounding.

  3. Forecast pricing assumptions utilized by the Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluators in the reserves estimates are the 3-‌Consultant-Average of price forecasts developed by Sproule International Limited, GLJ Ltd. and McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd., dated December 31, 2024:



2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Crude Oil and NGLs





WTI US$/bbl 71.58 74.48 75.81 77.66 79.22
WCS C$/bbl 82.69 84.27 83.81 85.70 87.45
Canadian Light Sweet C$/bbl 94.79 97.04 97.37 99.80 101.79
Cromer LSB C$/bbl 93.30 96.05 95.92 98.55 100.51
Edmonton C5+ C$/bbl 100.14 100.72 100.24 102.73 104.79
Brent US$/bbl 75.58 78.51 79.89 81.82 83.46
AECO C$/MMBtu 2.36 3.33 3.48 3.69 3.76
BC Westcoast Station 2 C$/MMBtu 2.15 3.14 3.29 3.50 3.57
Henry Hub US$/MMBtu 3.31 3.73 3.85 3.93 4.01
All prices increase at a rate of 2% per year after 2029.
A US$/C$ foreign exchange rate of 0.7117 was used for 2025, 0.7283 for 2026, and 0.7433 for 2027 and thereafter in the year end 2024 evaluation.
  1. A barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE") is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value.

  1. Oil and natural gas metrics included herein are commonly used in the crude oil and natural gas industry and are determined by Canadian Natural as set out in the notes below. These metrics do not have standardized meanings and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies and may be misleading when making comparisons. Management uses these metrics to evaluate Canadian Natural's performance over time. However, such measures are not reliable indicators of Canadian Natural's future performance and future performance may vary.
  1. Reserves additions and revisions are comprised of all categories of Company Gross reserves changes, exclusive of production.

  2. Reserves replacement or Production replacement ratio is the Company Gross reserves additions and revisions, for the relevant reserves category, divided by the Company Gross production in the same period.

  3. Reserves Life Index ("RLI") is based on the amount for the relevant reserves category divided by the 2025 proved developed producing production forecast prepared by the IQREs.

  4. Finding, Development and Acquisition ("FD&A") costs excluding changes in Future Development Costs ("FDC") are calculated by dividing the sum of total exploration, development and acquisition capital costs incurred in 2024 by the sum of total additions and revisions for the relevant reserves category.

  5. FD&A costs including changes in FDC are calculated by dividing the sum of total exploration, development and acquisition capital costs incurred in 2024 and net changes in FDC from December 31, 2023 to December 31, 2024 by the sum of total additions and revisions for the relevant reserves category. FDC excludes all abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation costs.

  6. Abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation ("ADR") costs included in the calculation of the Future Net Revenue ("FNR") consist of both the Company's total Asset Retirement Obligation ("ARO"), before inflation and discounting, for development existing as at December 31, 2024 and forecast estimates of ADR costs attributable to future development activity.

ADVISORY

Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (the "Company") in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "plan", "estimate", "target", "focus", "continue", "could", "intend", "may", "potential", "predict", "should", "will", "objective", "project", "forecast", "goal", "guidance", "outlook", "effort", "seeks", "schedule", "proposed", "aspiration" or expressions of a similar nature suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook. Disclosure related to the Company's strategy or strategic focus, capital budget, expected future commodity pricing, forecast or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production expenses, capital expenditures, abandonment expenditures, income tax expenses, and other targets provided throughout this document and the Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") of the financial condition and results of operations of the Company, including the strength of the Company's balance sheet, the sources and adequacy of the Company's liquidity, and the flexibility of the Company's capital structure, constitute forward-looking statements. Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing and future developments, including, without limitation, those in relation to: the Company's assets at Horizon Oil Sands ("Horizon"), the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP"), the Primrose thermal oil projects ("Primrose"), the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood projects ("Pelican Lake"), the Kirby thermal oil sands project ("Kirby"), the Jackfish thermal oil sands project ("Jackfish") and the North West Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery; construction by third parties of new, or expansion of existing, pipeline capacity or other means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids ("NGLs") or synthetic crude oil ("SCO") that the Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to market; the abandonment and decommissioning of certain assets and the timing thereof; the development and deployment of technology and technological innovations; the financial capacity of the Company to complete its growth projects and responsibly and sustainably grow in the long-term; and the materiality of the impact of tax interpretations and litigation on the Company's results, also constitute forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on annual budgets and multi-year forecasts, and are reviewed and revised throughout the year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios, project returns, product pricing expectations and balance in project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives or expectations upon which they are based will occur. In addition, statements relating to "reserves" are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas and NGLs reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of actual future production may vary significantly from reserves and production estimates.

The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the Company and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as of the earlier of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the report or document in which they are contained, and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others: general economic and business conditions (including as a result of the actions of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Plus ("OPEC+"), the impact of conflicts in the Middle East, the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, increased inflation, and the risk of decreased economic activity resulting from a global recession) which may impact, among other things, demand and supply for and market prices of the Company's products, and the availability and cost of resources required by the Company's operations; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil, natural gas and NGLs prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates; assumptions on which the Company's current targets are based; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; changes and uncertainty in the international trade environment, including with respect to tariffs, export restrictions, embargoes and key trade agreements (including the tariffs on a variety of goods announced by the US government on March 4, 2025 and Canadian countermeasures subsequently announced, both of which are anticipated to evolve); uncertainty in the regulatory framework governing greenhouse gas emissions including, among other things, financial and other support from various levels of government for climate related initiatives and potential emissions or production caps; political uncertainty, including changes in government, actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; the ability of the Company to prevent and recover from a cyberattack, other cyber-related crime and other cyber-related incidents; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; the impact of competition; the Company's defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company to complete capital programs; the Company's ability to secure adequate transportation for its products; unexpected disruptions or delays in the mining, extracting or upgrading of the Company's bitumen products; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build, maintain, and operate its thermal and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas and in the mining, extracting or upgrading the Company's bitumen products; availability and cost of financing; the Company's success of exploration and development activities and its ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas reserves; the Company's ability to meet its targeted production levels; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies and assets, including the acquired working interests in AOSP and Duvernay assets from Chevron Canada Limited ("Chevron") in December 2024; production levels; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not currently classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety, competition, environmental laws and regulations and the impact of climate change initiatives on capital expenditures and production expenses); interpretations of applicable tax and competition laws and regulations; asset retirement obligations; the sufficiency of the Company's liquidity to support its growth strategy and to sustain its operations in the short, medium, and long-term; the strength of the Company's balance sheet; the flexibility of the Company's capital structure; the adequacy of the Company's provision for taxes; the impact of legal proceedings to which the Company is party; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses.

The Company's operations have been, and in the future may be, affected by political developments and by national, federal, provincial, state and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, the imposition of tariffs, embargoes or export restrictions on the Company's products (including the tariffs on a variety of goods announced by the US government on March 4, 2025 and Canadian countermeasures subsequently announced, both of which are anticipated to evolve), changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company's assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the Company's course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed in this document or the Company's MD&A could also have adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements in this document or the Company's MD&A, whether as a result of new information, future events or other factors, or the foregoing factors affecting this information, should circumstances or the Company's estimates or opinions change.

Special Note Regarding Common Share Split and Comparative Figures

At the Company's Annual and Special Meeting held on May 2, 2024, shareholders passed a Special Resolution approving a two for one common share split effective for shareholders of record as of market close on June 3, 2024. On June 10, 2024, shareholders of record received one additional share for every one common share held, with common shares trading on a split-adjusted basis beginning June 11, 2024. Common share, per common share, dividend, and stock option amounts for periods prior to the two for one common share split have been updated to reflect the common share split.

Special Note Regarding Amendments to the Competition Act (Canada)

On June 20, 2024, amendments to the Competition Act (Canada) came into force with the adoption of Bill C-59, An Act to Implement Certain Provisions of the Fall Economic Statement which impact environmental and climate disclosures by businesses. As a result of these amendments, certain public representations by a business regarding the benefits of the work it is doing to protect or restore the environment or mitigate the environmental and ecological causes or effects of climate change may violate the Competition Act's deceptive marketing practices provisions. These amendments include substantial financial penalties and, effective June 20, 2025, a private right of action which will permit private parties to seek an order from the Competition Tribunal under the deceptive marketing practices provisions. Uncertainty surrounding the interpretation and enforcement of this legislation may expose the Company to increased litigation and financial penalties, the outcome and impacts of which can be difficult to assess or quantify and may have a material adverse effect on the Company's business, reputation, financial condition, and results.

Special Note Regarding Currency, Financial Information and Production

This document should be read in conjunction with the Company's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements (the "financial statements") and MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024, and the Company's audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023. All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of Canadian dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company's financial statements and MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024 have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB").

Production volumes and per unit statistics are presented throughout this document on a "before royalties" or "company gross" basis, and realized prices are net of blending and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management activities. In addition, reference is made to crude oil and natural gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE"). A BOE is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas to one barrel ("bbl") of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of this document, crude oil is defined to include the following commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and SCO. Production on an "after royalties" or "company net" basis is also presented for information purposes only.

Additional information relating to the Company, including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2023, is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. Information in such Annual Information Form and on the Company's website does not form part of and is not incorporated by reference in the Company's MD&A.

Special Note Regarding Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

This document includes references to non-GAAP measures, which include non-GAAP and other financial measures as defined in National Instrument 52-112 - Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure. These financial measures are used by the Company to evaluate its financial performance, financial position or cash flow and include non-GAAP financial measures, non-‍GAAP ratios, total of segments measures, capital management measures, and supplementary financial measures. These financial measures are not defined by IFRS and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP and other financial measures. The non-GAAP and other financial measures used by the Company may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies and should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, the most directly comparable financial measure presented in the Company's financial statements, as applicable, as an indication of the Company's performance. Descriptions of the Company's non-GAAP and other financial measures included in this document, and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, as applicable, are provided below as well as in the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024, dated March 5, 2025.

Free Cash Flow Allocation Policy

Free cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure. The Company considers free cash flow a key measure in demonstrating the Company's ability to generate cash flow to fund future growth through capital investment, pay returns to shareholders and to repay or maintain net debt levels, pursuant to the free cash flow allocation policy.

The Company's free cash flow is used to determine the targeted amount of shareholder returns after dividends. The amount allocated to shareholders varies depending on the Company's net debt position.

Free cash flow is calculated as adjusted funds flow less dividends on common shares, net capital expenditures and abandonment expenditures. The Company targets to manage the allocation of free cash flow on a forward looking annual basis, while managing working capital and cash management as required.

Up to October 2024, before the announcement of the Chevron acquisition, the Company was targeting to allocate 100% of its free cash flow in 2024 to shareholder returns.

In October 2024, with the announcement of the Chevron acquisition, the Board of Directors adjusted the allocation of free cash flow as follows:

The Company's free cash flow for the year ended December 31, 2024 is shown below:



Year Ended
($ millions)
Dec 31
2024

Adjusted funds flow (1) $ 14,859
Less: Dividends on common shares
4,429
Net capital expenditures,(2) excluding net acquisition costs
5,286
Abandonment expenditures
646
Free cash flow $ 4,498
(1) Refer to the descriptions and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, which are provided in the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024, dated March 5, 2025.
(2) Net Capital expenditures is a Non-GAAP Financial Measure. 2024 Net capital expenditures, excluding net acquisition costs is equal to net capital expenditures of $14,431 million less net acquisition costs of $9,145 million in the period. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for the three months and year ended December 31, 2024, dated March 5, 2025.

Long-term Debt, net

Long-term debt, net (also referred to as net debt) is a capital management measure that is calculated as current and long-term debt less cash and cash equivalents.

($ millions)
Dec 31
2024


Sep 30
2024


Dec 31
2023

Long-term debt $ 18,819
$ 10,029
$ 10,799
Less: cash and cash equivalents
131

721

877
Long-term debt, net $ 18,688
$ 9,308
$ 9,922

Break-even WTI Price

The break-even WTI price is a supplementary financial measure that represents the equivalent US dollar WTI price per barrel where the Company's adjusted funds flow is equal to the sum of maintenance capital and dividends. The Company considers the break-even WTI price a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency and profitability of the Company's activities. The break-even WTI price incorporates the non-GAAP financial measure adjusted funds flow as reconciled in the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A. Maintenance capital is a supplementary financial measure that represents the capital required to maintain annual production at prior period levels.

Capital Budget

Capital budget is a forward looking non-GAAP financial measure. The capital budget is based on net capital expenditures (Non-GAAP Financial Measure) and excludes net acquisition costs. Refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's MD&A for more details on net capital expenditures.

The 2025 capital budget reflects budgeted net capital expenditures, before capital related to the office relocation and abandonment expenditures related to the execution of the Company's abandonment and reclamation programs in North America and the North Sea. The Company currently carries an Asset Retirement Obligation ("ARO") liability on its balance sheet for these budgeted future expenditures. Abandonment expenditures are reported before the impact of current income tax recoveries. Current tax recoveries are refundable at a rate of approximately 23% in Canada and a combined current income tax and Petroleum Revenue Tax ("PRT") rate approximating 70% to 75% in the UK portion of the North Sea. The Company is eligible to recover interest on refunded PRT previously paid.

Capital Efficiency

Capital efficiency is a supplementary financial measure that represents the capital spent to add new or incremental production divided by the current rate of the new or incremental production. It is expressed as a dollar amount per flowing volume of a product ($‍/‍bbl/‍‍d or $/‍BOE‍/‍d). The Company considers capital efficiency a key measure in evaluating its performance, as it demonstrates the efficiency of the Company's capital investments.

CONFERENCE CALL

Canadian Natural Resources Limited (TSX: CNQ) (NYSE: CNQ) will be issuing its 2024 Fourth Quarter and Year End Earnings Results on Thursday, March 6, 2025 before market open.

A conference call will be held at 9:00 a.m. MST / 11:00 a.m. EST on Thursday, March 6, 2025.

Dial-in to the live event:

North America 1-800-717-1738 / International 001-289-514-5100.

Listen to the audio webcast:

Access the audio webcast on the home page of our website, www.cnrl.com.

Conference call playback:

North America 1-888-660-6264 / International 001-289-819-1325 (Passcode: 00761#)

Canadian Natural is a senior crude oil and natural gas production company, with continuing operations in its core areas located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and Offshore Africa.

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED
T (403) 517-6700 F (403) 517-7350 E ir@cnrl.com
2100, 855 - 2 Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta, T2P 4J8
www.cnrl.com


SCOTT G. STAUTH
President

MARK A. STAINTHORPE
Chief Financial Officer

LANCE J. CASSON
Manager, Investor Relations

Trading Symbol - CNQ
Toronto Stock Exchange
New York Stock Exchange

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