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Triple Flag Reports Strong Q3 2021 Results

10.11.2021  |  Business Wire

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (with its subsidiaries, "Triple Flag" or the "Company") (TSX:TFPM, TSX:TFPM.U) today announced its results for the third quarter of 2021 and declared a dividend of US$0.0475 per common share to be paid in December 2021. All amounts expressed in US dollars.

"We are pleased to report another set of strong results for the third quarter of 2021, successfully delivering sector-leading growth in a disciplined manner, demonstrated by year-over-year increases in revenue, cash flow, adjusted EBITDA and gold equivalent ounces sold, among other metrics," commented Shaun Usmar, Triple Flag Founder and CEO. "These results include a 52% increase in revenue, 53% increase in operating cash flow, and a 62% increase in GEOs sold, as compared to the same period in 2020. We are also pleased to announce that our Board has declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.0475 per common share. Based on the November 9 closing price, our annualized dividend of US$0.19 per share provides investors with a sector-leading dividend yield of 2.0%, supported by a robust debt-free balance sheet. We intend to grow the dividend over time as we focus on delivering consistently strong results while executing our strategy of disciplined and accretive growth through the acquisition of additional precious metals streams and royalties.

In addition, we are excited that our partner Steppe Gold Ltd. recently announced the positive results of the feasibility study on its ATO gold mine in Mongolia that would extend the mine life by 10.5 years from the fresh rock ore production ("Phase 2 Expansion") following depletion of the current oxide phase in two years. This expansion also extends the life of Triple Flag's stream by more than a decade with no incremental investment by Triple Flag. This is a testament to our rigorous due diligence process and our ability to source and secure transactions on high-quality mining projects led by great partners around the globe and create value for all stakeholders. We are working with the Steppe Gold management team to meaningfully contribute to their impressive community programs in education and beyond."

Q3 2021 Highlights

GEOs Sold by Commodity, Revenue by Commodity, and Financial Highlights Summary Table

Three Months Ended September 30

Nine Months Ended September 30

($ thousands except GEOs, Asset Margin, Total Margin, Cash Costs per GEO, and per share numbers)

2021

2020

2021

2020

GEOs

Gold

10,154

9,319

30,529

24,178

Silver

9,439

3,201

29,643

15,341

Other

1,153

301

2,825

1,131

Total

20,746

12,821

62,997

40,650

Revenue

Gold

18,171

17,784

54,981

42,520

Silver

16,891

6,110

53,363

26,180

Other

2,064

576

5,087

1,889

Total

37,126

24,470

113,431

70,589

Net Earnings

5,128

8,915

32,146

1,610

Net Earnings per Share

0.03

0.07

0.22

0.01

Adjusted Net Earnings1

13,714

5,062

44,155

7,346

Adjusted Net Earnings per Share1

0.09

0.04

0.30

0.07

Operating Cash Flow

29,455

19,239

91,018

53,656

Adjusted EBITDA2

29,549

20,619

94,605

59,422

Asset Margin4

91%

92%

91%

92%

Total Margin4

80%

84%

83%

84%

Cash Costs per GEO3

166

158

162

143

Corporate Updates

Q3 2021 Portfolio Updates

Australia

Latin America:

North America:

Rest of World

Conference Call Details

Triple Flag has scheduled an investor conference call at 10:00 a.m. ET (7:00 a.m. PT) on Thursday, November 11, 2021, to discuss the results reported in today's earnings announcement. The conference call will be broadcast live via a webcast and can be accessed by visiting the Events and Presentations page on the Company's website at: www.tripleflagpm.com. An archived version of the webcast will be available on the website for one month following the webcast.

Date and Time:

November 11th 10:00 a.m. ET (7:00 a.m. PT)

Live Webcast:

https://event.on24.com/wcc/r/3411200/B2BF3B90DB249282FA477769F368AB71

Dial-in Details:

Toll-Free: +1-833-968-2076

International: +1-236-714-2960

Pass Code: 7267803 #

Replay (Until November 18th):

+1-800-585-8367

Each of Mr. Allan Polk, Vice President, Mining Engineering and Mr. James Dendle, Vice President, Evaluations & Investor Relations, is a "qualified person" as such term is defined under National Instrument 43-101 and has reviewed and approved the technical information disclosed in this news release.

About Triple Flag

Triple Flag's shares are listed on the TSX under TFPM.U (USD listing) and TFPM (CAD listing). On May 26, 2021 Triple Flag closed its IPO, which was the largest TSX-listed mining IPO since 2012 by size and market capitalization, and the largest precious metals IPO globally by market capitalization since 2008. Triple Flag is a gold-focused streaming and royalty company, providing investors exposure to a long-life, diversified and high-quality portfolio of streams and royalties, that generates robust free cash flows. Our business is underpinned by a rigorous focus on asset-quality, optionality, sustainability and risk management. We offer bespoke financing solutions to the metals and mining industry. Our mission is to be a sought-after, long-term funding partner to mining companies throughout the commodity cycle. Since our inception in 2016, we have delivered sector-leading growth through the construction of a diversified portfolio of streams and royalties that provides exposure primarily to gold and silver in the Americas and Australia. We have 75 assets, including 9 streams and 66 royalties. These investments are tied to mining assets at various stages of the mine life cycle, including 15 producing mines and 60 development and exploration stage projects. References to Triple Flag mean Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., together with its wholly owned subsidiaries.

Forward-Looking Information

This news release contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information may be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "plans", "targets", "expects", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "outlook", "forecasts", "projection", "prospects", "strategy", "intends", "anticipates", "believes", or variations of such words and phrases or terminology which states that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might", "will", "will be taken", "occur" or "be achieved". Our assessments of, and expectations for, future periods (including, but not limited to, our 2021 guidance and long-term production outlook for GEOs, our dividend policy and our acquisition strategy), are considered forward-looking information. In addition, any statements that refer to expectations, intentions, projections or other characterizations of future events or circumstances contain forward-looking information. Statements containing forward-looking information are not historical facts but instead represent management's expectations, estimates and projections regarding possible future events or circumstances.

The forward-looking information included in this news release is based on our opinions, estimates and assumptions in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that we currently believe are appropriate and reasonable in the circumstances. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is also based upon the ongoing operation of the properties in which we hold a stream or royalty interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; and the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that are not yet in production. These assumptions include, but are not limited to, the following: assumptions in respect of current and future market conditions and the execution of our business strategies, that operations, or ramp-up where applicable, at properties in which we hold a royalty, stream or other interest, continue without further interruption through the period, and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated, intended or implied. Despite a careful process to prepare and review the forward-looking information, there can be no assurance that the underlying opinions, estimates and assumptions will prove to be correct. Forward-looking information is also subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to, those set forth under the caption "Risk Factors" in our May 19, 2021 prospectus. For clarity, Mineral Resources that are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability and Inferred Resources are considered too geologically speculative for the application of economic considerations.

Although we have attempted to identify important risk factors that could cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other risk factors not presently known to us or that we presently believe are not material that could also cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking information. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information, which speaks only as of the date made. The forward-looking information contained in this news release represents our expectations as of the date of this news release and is subject to change after such date. We disclaim any intention or obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. All of the forward-looking information contained in this news release is expressly qualified by the foregoing cautionary statements.

Technical and Third-Party Information

Triple Flag does not own, develop or mine the underlying properties on which it holds stream or royalty interests. As a royalty or stream holder, Triple Flag has limited, if any, access to properties included in its asset portfolio. As a result, Triple Flag is dependent on the owners or operators of the properties and their qualified persons to provide information to Triple Flag or on publicly available information to prepare disclosure pertaining to properties and operations on the properties on which Triple Flag holds stream, royalty or other similar interests. Triple Flag generally has limited or no ability to independently verify such information. Although Triple Flag does not believe that such information is inaccurate or incomplete in any material respect, there can be no assurance that such third-party information is complete or accurate.

Endnotes

Endnote 1

Adjusted net earnings (loss) is a non?IFRS financial measure, which excludes the following from net earnings (loss):

Management uses this measure internally to evaluate our underlying operating performance for the reporting periods presented and to assist with the planning and forecasting of future operating results. Management believes that adjusted net earnings (loss) is a useful measure of our performance because impairment charges, gain/loss on sale or disposition of assets/investments/mineral interests, foreign currency translation gains/losses, increase/decrease in fair value of investments and non-recurring charges (such as IPO readiness costs) do not reflect the underlying operating performance of our core business and are not necessarily indicative of future operating results. The tax effect is also excluded to reconcile the amounts on a post-tax basis, consistent with net earnings. Management's internal budgets and forecasts and public guidance do not reflect the types of items we adjust for. Consequently, the presentation of adjusted net earnings (loss) enables users to better understand the underlying operating performance of our core business through the eyes of management. Management periodically evaluates the components of adjusted net earnings based on an internal assessment of performance measures that are useful for evaluating the operating performance of our business and a review of the non-IFRS measures used by industry analysts and other streaming and royalty companies. Adjusted net earnings (loss) is intended to provide additional information only and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The measures are not necessarily indicative of gross profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. The following table reconciles adjusted net earnings to net earnings, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:

($ thousands, except share and

Three months ended
September 30

Nine months ended
September 30

per share information)

2021

2020

2021

2020

Net earnings

$5,128

$8,915

$32,146

$1,610

Impairment charges

-

-

-

7,864

Loss on sale of investments

219

-

404

-

Loss on derivatives

-

-

297

-

Foreign currency translation losses (gains)

46

(20)

24

5

Decrease (increase) in fair value of investments

8,726

(3,853)

10,442

(141)

IPO readiness costs(1)

-

-

670

-

Income tax effect

(405)

20

172

(1,992)

Adjusted net earnings

$13,714

$5,062

$44,155

$7,346

Weighted average shares outstanding

156,192,715

130,122,658

145,284,500

108,729,723

Net earnings per share

$ 0.03

$ 0.07

$ 0.22

$ 0.01

Adjusted net earnings per share

$ 0.09

$ 0.04

$ 0.30

$ 0.07

(1) Reflects charges related to a potential U.S. listing that was not pursued.

Endnote 2

Adjusted EBITDA is a non?IFRS financial measure, which excludes the following from net earnings:

Management believes that adjusted EBITDA is a valuable indicator of our ability to generate liquidity by producing operating cash flow to fund working capital needs, service debt obligations, and fund acquisitions. Management uses adjusted EBITDA for this purpose. Adjusted EBITDA is also frequently used by investors and analysts for valuation purposes whereby adjusted EBITDA is multiplied by a factor or ''multiple'' that is based on an observed or inferred relationship between adjusted EBITDA and market values to determine the approximate total enterprise value of a company.

In addition to excluding income tax expense, finance costs, net and depletion and amortization, adjusted EBITDA also removes the effect of impairment charges, gain/loss on sale or disposition of assets/investments/mineral interests, foreign currency translation gains/losses, increase/decrease in fair value of investments and non-recurring charges. We believe these items provide a greater level of consistency with the adjusting items included in our adjusted net earnings reconciliation, with the exception that these amounts are adjusted to remove any impact of income tax expense as they do not affect adjusted EBITDA. We believe this additional information will assist analysts, investors and our shareholders to better understand our ability to generate liquidity from operating cash flow, by excluding these amounts from the calculation as they are not indicative of the performance of our core business and not necessarily reflective of the underlying operating results for the periods presented.

Adjusted EBITDA is intended to provide additional information to investors and analysts and does not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily indicative of operating profit or operating cash flow as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate adjusted EBITDA differently. The following table reconciles adjusted EBITDA to net earnings, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:

Three months ended
September 30

Nine months ended
September 30

($ thousands)

2021

2020

2021

2020

Net earnings

$5,128

$8,915

$32,146

$1,610

Finance costs, net

494

2,961

5,071

7,123

Income tax expense

1,334

2,706

4,636

5,263

Depletion and amortization

13,602

9,910

40,915

37,698

Impairment charges

-

-

-

7,864

Loss on sale of investments

219

-

404

-

Loss on derivatives

-

-

297

-

Foreign currency translation (gain) loss

46

(20)

24

5

Decrease (increase) in fair value of investments

8,726

(3,853)

10,442

(141)

IPO readiness costs(1)

-

-

670

-

Adjusted EBITDA

$29,549

$20,619

$94,605

$59,422

(1) Reflects charges related to a U.S. listing that was not pursued.

Endnote 3

Cash costs and cash costs per GEO are non-IFRS measures with no standardized meaning under IFRS and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Cash costs is calculated by starting with total cost of sales, then deducting depletion. Cash costs is then divided by GEOs sold, to arrive at cash costs per GEO. Cash costs and cash costs per GEO are only intended to provide additional information to investors and analysts and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.

Management uses cash costs and cash costs per GEO to evaluate our ability to generate positive cash flow from our portfolio of assets. Management and certain investors also use this information to evaluate the Company's performance relative to peers who present this measure on a similar basis. The following table reconciles cash costs and cash costs per GEO to cost of sales, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:

($ thousands, except GEOs

Three months ended
September 30

Nine months ended
September 30

and cash costs per GEO)

2021

2020

2021

2020

Cost of sales

$16,946

$11,833

$50,829

$43,214

Less: Depletion

13,502

9,810

40,616

37,399

Cash costs

3,444

2,023

10,213

5,815

GEOs

20,746

12,821

62,997

40,650

Cash costs per GEO

166

158

162

143

Endnote 4

Gross profit margin is an IFRS financial measure which we define as gross profit divided by revenue. Asset margin is a non-IFRS financial measure which we define by taking gross profit and adding back depletion and dividing by revenue. Total margin is a non-IFRS financial measure which we define as adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue. We use gross profit margin to assess profitability of our metal sales and use asset margin and total margin in order to evaluate our performance in increasing revenue and containing costs and providing a useful comparison to our peers. Both asset margin and total margin are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The following table reconciles asset margin and total margin to gross profit margin, the most directly comparable IFRS measure:

($ thousands except Gross profit

Three months ended

September 30

Nine months ended

September 30

margin, Asset margin, and Total margin)

2021

2020

2021

2020

Revenue

$37,126

$24,470

$113,431

$70,589

Cost of sales

16,946

11,833

50,829

43,214

Gross profit

20,180

12,637

62,602

27,375

Gross profit margin

54%

52%

55%

39%

Gross profit

$20,180

$12,637

$62,602

$27,375

Add: Depletion

13,502

9,810

40,616

37,399

33,682

22,447

103,218

64,774

Revenue

37,126

24,470

113,431

70,589

Asset margin

91%

92%

91%

92%

Gross profit

$20,180

$12,637

$62,602

$27,375

Add: Depletion and amortization

13,602

9,910

40,915

37,698

Less: Sustainability initiatives

80

-

434

38

Less: Business development costs

114

46

443

65

Less: General administration costs

4,039

1,882

8,035

5,548

Adjusted EBITDA

29,549

20,619

94,605

59,422

Revenue

37,126

24,470

113,341

70,589

Total margin

80%

84%

83%

84%

_____________________________

a GEOs are based on stream and royalty interests and are calculated on a quarterly basis by dividing all revenue from such interests for the quarter by the average gold price during such quarter. The gold price is determined based on the London Bullion Market Association ("LBMA") PM fix. For periods longer than one quarter, GEOs are summed for each quarter in the period.

b 2021E expected GEOs are based on publicly available forecasts of the owners or operators of properties on which we have stream and royalty interests. When publicly available forecasts on properties are not available, we obtain internal forecasts from the owners or operators, or use our own best estimate. We conduct our own independent analysis of this information to reflect our expectations based on an operator's historical performance and track record of replenishing Mineral Reserves and the operator's publicly disclosed guidance on future production, the conversion of mineral resources to mineral reserves, timing risk adjustments, drill results, our view on opportunities for mine plan optimization and other factors. In estimating GEOs for 2021E, we used commodity prices of $1,800/oz gold, $25.00/oz silver, and $4.00/lb copper for the remainder of 2021.

c Triple Flag's royalty relates to Talon Metals Corp.'s interest in the Tamarack project and is assumed to reach 60% after full earn-in by Talon. Talon's interest is currently at 51%. Under the terms of the royalty agreement, Triple Flag has a put right pursuant to which Triple Flag may cause Talon to repurchase the entire royalty for $8.6 million. If Triple Flag does not exercise the put right, Talon has a one-time option to buy down the NSR royalty to 1.85% for $4.5 million. If Talon's interest in the project decreases below 10%, its interest is converted into a 1.0% NSR royalty which is automatically assigned to Triple Flag.



Contact

Inquiries:
James Dendle
Vice President, Evaluations & Investor Relations
+1 (416) 304-9770
ir@tripleflagpm.com