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Perpetual Energy Inc. Releases Third Quarter 2014 Financial and Operating Results and Provides First Quarter 2015 Capital Spending Guidance

07.11.2014  |  CNW

CALGARY, Nov. 6, 2014 /CNW/ - (TSX:PMT) - Perpetual Energy Inc. ("Perpetual", the "Corporation" or the "Company") is pleased to report its financial and operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2014. Perpetual continued to improve its financial flexibility in the third quarter with a reduction in overall debt levels achieved through the successful execution of several transactions including a senior notes offering, the monetization of future gas over bitumen ("GOB") royalty credits and disposition of a royalty interest coupled with a farm-in arrangement under the East Edson joint venture ("East Edson JV"). The Company recorded increases in production, revenues and funds flow compared to the prior year and expects growth to continue through 2014 and 2015 based on positive results from capital activities, combined with enhanced capital funding from the East Edson JV. A complete copy of Perpetual's unaudited interim consolidated financial statements and related Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2014 can be obtained through the Corporation's website at www.perpetualenergyinc.com and SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

THIRD QUARTER 2014 HIGHLIGHTS

Capital Spending and Property Dispositions

Production Highlights

Financial Highlights

2014 STRATEGIC PRIORITIES

Perpetual remains focused on its top five strategic priorities for 2014:

  1. Reduce debt and manage downside risk;
  2. Grow Edson liquids-rich gas production, reserves, cash flow, inventory and value;
  3. Maximize value of Mannville heavy oil;
  4. Maximize cash flow from shallow gas; and
  5. Advance and broaden the portfolio of high impact opportunities with risk-managed investment.

Debt reduction and downside risk management

Edson Wilrich liquids-rich gas and East Edson JV

Mannville heavy oil

Shallow gas

High impact opportunities

OUTLOOK

Remainder of 2014

Perpetual's success in advancing its top strategic priorities thus far in 2014 has established a foundation for accelerated growth in production, reserves, and funds flow along with improved financial liquidity. Dispositions, combined with the issuance of the $125 million of high yield notes have temporarily eliminated bank debt, providing increased financial flexibility and certainty with respect to the repayment of maturing convertible debentures. To this end, Perpetual intends to provide notice to the Trustee for the early redemption with cash of $25 million of the outstanding $60 million 7.00% Debentures on December 31, 2014.

Perpetual has increased its capital expenditure program for the fourth quarter 2014 and expects to report full year 2014 spending between $124 and $128 million. Additional fourth quarter spending includes accelerated East Edson drilling and completion activities utilizing an estimated $20 million of restricted cash held in Perpetual's escrow account, as well as expedited equipment and construction costs for the new East Edson gas plant to drive an earlier start-up date prior to September 1, 2015.

Closing of the joint venture arrangement in July 2014 is accelerating the development of the Corporation's East Edson asset. In addition to the reported capital, the Company is on track to execute close to $70 million in committed farm-in development spending prior to the end of 2014, utilizing the balance of the joint venture partner's funds from escrow. Currently three rigs are drilling at East Edson where ten (10.0 net) new wells are expected to be rig released during the fourth quarter. Another $4 million is forecast to be spent in the fourth quarter on equipment and lease construction activities for the new 30 MMcf/d East Edson gas plant. All required permits and approvals have been received and construction is on track for a graduated plant start-up in the third quarter of 2015.

At West Edson, Perpetual plans to spend $7.5 million during the fourth quarter, incorporating associated costs to finish drilling operations, complete and tie-in the two well pad currently in clean up and flow testing operations, and drill two (1.0 net) additional horizontal Wilrich wells prior to year end. Based on strong initial test results above the type-curve, new production is expected to maintain throughput above the nameplate plant capacity of 60 MMcf/d (30 MMcf/d net) by utilizing bypass operations for leaner wells.

At Mannville, fourth quarter spending will primarily be directed to water handling and injection projects to expand the waterflood pilot in the Mannville I2I pool and step up pressure maintenance through waterflood on two additional pools.

The fourth quarter capital program also includes modest expenditures to continue to build on the success to date in maximizing value and mitigating production declines on the Corporation's legacy shallow gas assets through facility optimization projects, workovers and uphole recompletions. High capital efficiency projects have arrested the annual decline in conventional base shallow gas assets to approximately five percent.

The table below summarizes expected capital spending and drilling activities in accordance with Perpetual's 2014 strategic priorities for the remainder of 2014.

Exploration and development capital
expenditures
Q4 2014
$ millions
# of wells
(gross/net)
Full Year
2014
# of wells
(gross/net)
West Central liquids-rich gas(1) 25 4/2.5 87 17/9.1
Mannville heavy oil 3 - 26 20/17.8
Shallow gas and other 6 - 11 -
Total Perpetual reported capital spending(2) 34 4/2.5 124 37/26.9
East Edson partner funded capital 50 9/9.0 69 13/13.0
Total capital spending 84 13/11.5 193 50/39.9
(1) Excludes Perpetual operated capital spending funded by East Edson partner escrow funds.
(2) Excludes budgeted abandonment and reclamation spending of $2 million.

With production increases now materializing as a result of the accelerated development spending at East Edson, and giving effect to the non-core Mannville heavy oil disposition effective October 1, 2014, Perpetual expects to exit 2014 at a production rate of 23,400 boe/d, with full year 2014 production averaging between 20,100 boe/d to 20,500 boe/d. Based on these assumptions and the current forward market for commodity prices, Perpetual forecasts 2014 funds flow of $82 million. Incorporating the assumptions outlined above, the following table shows Perpetual's estimated 2014 funds flow based on actual results to September 30 and using various commodity prices for the fourth quarter of 2014:

Projected 2014 funds flow(2) ($ millions) Q4 AECO gas price ($/GJ)(1)
Q4
WTI price
(US$/bbl)(1)
$3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00
$85.00 79.6 81.49 84.2 86.5 88.7
$95.00 81.1 83.4 85.7 87.49 90.2
$100.00 81.7 84.0 86.3 88.5 90.8
$105.00 81.7 84.0 86.3 88.5 90.8
$115.00 82.4 84.7 87.0 89.2 91.5
(1) The current settled and forward average AECO and WTI prices for October to December 2014 as of November 6, 2014 were $3.87 per GJ and US$80.07 per bbl, respectively.
(2) Funds flow is a non-GAAP measures. Please refer to "Non-GAAP Measures" below.

2015 Outlook

In 2015, the Company will continue to focus on growing funds flow, strengthening its balance sheet, and optimizing and transforming its asset base. Perpetual's top five key strategic priorities for 2015 are:

  1. Grow greater Edson liquids-rich gas production, cash flow, inventory, reserves and value;
  2. Optimize value of Mannville heavy oil;
  3. Refine elements of production growth strategy for 2017 to 2020;
  4. Maximize value of shallow gas; and
  5. Reduce debt and improve debt/cash flow ratio.

Capital spending for the first quarter of 2015 is expected to be $64 million, with an estimated $13 million funded from Perpetual's East Edson JV escrow account. Expenditures will be focused as detailed in the table below:

Exploration and development capital expenditures Q1 2015
$ millions
# of wells
(gross/net)
West Central liquids-rich gas(1) 48 7/5.5
Mannville heavy oil 8 5/4.7
Shallow gas 4 -
Panny pilot 4 2/2.0
Total Perpetual reported capital spending(2) 64 14/12.2
East Edson joint venture partner funded capital 1 -
Total capital spending 65 14/12.2
(1) Excludes Perpetual operated capital spending funded by East Edson partner escrow funds.
(2) Excludes budgeted abandonment and reclamation spending of $5 million.

In West Central Alberta, operations will be focused on drilling three (1.5 net) wells at West Edson to maintain sales of high heat content gas at over 30 MMcf/d net plus associated liquids. In East Edson, development drilling will continue with four (4.0 net) additional wells planned to maintain gas sales through the existing 16-10 compressor at over 28.5 MMcf/d plus associated liquids and ensure ample supply to fill the new plant at start-up in the third quarter of 2015. Development and exploration in Mannville for heavy oil will continue with the drilling of up to five (4.7 net) wells and additional waterflood implementation activities. Additionally, capital will be directed to winter-only access assets in northeast Alberta. Approximately $4 million net is allocated to implement phase 1 of a pilot project for extraction of low viscosity bitumen at Panny to evaluate the impact of electrical heat stimulation on the Bluesky reservoir and assess multiple operational parameters. Additionally, high return facility optimization projects, well workovers and uphole recompletions as well as abandonment activities will be undertaken to maximize value from shallow gas assets.

Spending for the remainder of 2015 will be finalized after the first quarter with a view to increased certainty on 2015 commodity prices and funds flow as well as operations and drilling performance, particularly in the greater Edson area. Perpetual will target full year 2015 capital spending to be largely funded by 2015 cash flow. Furthermore, Perpetual continues to target additional asset sales in 2015 with funds to be utilized to strengthen the balance sheet and enhance financial flexibility.

Financial and operating highlights Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30
(Cdn$ thousands except as noted) 2014 2013(5) % Change 2014 2013(5) % Change
Financial
Oil and natural gas revenue 63,126 52,555 20 200,228 152,219 32
Funds flow (1) 20,831 18,650 12 64,079 45,470 41
Per share (1) (2) 0.14 0.13 8 0.43 0.31 39
Net earnings (loss) 36,414 (6,833) 633 21,639 21,365 1
Per share - basic (2) 0.24 (0.05) 600 0.15 0.14 7
Per share -diluted (2) 0.23 (0.05) 580 0.14 0.14 -
Total assets 807,055 724,783 11 807,055 724,783 11
Net bank debt outstanding (1) 5,618 55,338 (90) 5,618 55,33 (91)
Senior notes, at principal amount 275,000 150,000 83 275,000 150,000 83
Convertible debentures, at principal amount 59,878 159,779 (63) 59,878 159,779 (63)
Total net debt (1) 340,496 365,117 (7) 340,496 365,117 (7)
Capital expenditures
Exploration and development 46,583 22,325 109 90,174 70,868 27
Interest in WGS LP - - - - 19,129 (100)
Dispositions, net of acquisitions (46,998) 472 n/a (49,756) (70,357) (28)
Other(3) 381 59 546 795 1,416 (44)
Net capital expenditures (34) 22,856 (103) 41,213 21,056 93
Common shares outstanding (thousands)
End of period 150,014 148,482 1 150,014 148,482 1
Weighted average - basic 149,574 148,382 1 148,957 148,028 1
Operating
Average production
Natural gas (MMcf/d) (4) 97.8 85.3 15 96.1 88.7 8
Oil and NGL (bbl/d) (4) 3,324 4,064 (18) 3,503 3,978 (12)
Average daily (boe/d) (4) 19,640 18,274 7 19,499 18,741 4
Average prices
Natural gas, before derivatives ($/Mcf) 4.35 2.79 56 4.73 3.23 46
Natural gas, including derivatives ($/Mcf) 4.35 3.31 32 4.45 3.50 27
Oil and NGL, before derivatives ($/bbl) 78.26 82.03 (5) 79.80 68.33 17
Oil and NGL, including derivatives ($/bbl) 75.10 76.86 (2) 74.15 66.66 11
Barrel of oil equivalent, including derivatives ($/boe) 34.40 32.55 6 35.21 30.71 15
Drilling (wells drilled gross/net)
Gas 13/8.1 2/1.0 17/10.6 2/1.0
Oil 7/6.1 3/3.0 20/17.8 32/30.7
Total 20/14.2 5/4.0 37/28.4 34/31.7
Success rate (%) 100/100 100/100 100/100 100/100
(1) These are non-GAAP measures. Please refer to "Non-GAAP Measures" below.
(2) Based on weighted average basic or diluted common shares outstanding for the period.
(3) Other costs include geological and geophysical expenditures.
(4) Production amounts are based on the Corporation's interest before royalty expense
(5) Prior period amounts have been corrected as a result of the GOB obligation being overstated and GOB revenue being understated. See note 2 of the Corporations' condensed interim consolidated financial statements for the nine months ended September 30, 2014.

Forward-Looking Information

Certain information regarding Perpetual in this news release including management's assessment of future plans and operations and including the information contained under the heading "Outlook", "Remainder of 2014" and "2015 Outlook" may constitute forward-looking statements under applicable securities laws. The forward-looking information includes, without limitation, statements regarding capital expenditure levels for 2014, prospective drilling and operational activities; forecast production and production type; forecast and realized commodity prices; expected funding, the potential redemption of a portion of the outstanding convertible debentures and the timing thereof, allocation and timing of capital expenditures; projected use of funds flow and anticipated funds flow; planned drilling and development and the results thereof; expected dispositions, anticipated proceeds therefrom and the use of proceeds therefrom; and commodity prices. Various assumptions were used in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts and projections contained in the forward-looking information contained in this press release, which assumptions are based on management analysis of historical trends, experience, current conditions, and expected future developments pertaining to Perpetual and the industry in which it operates as well as certain assumptions regarding the matters outlined above. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks, which could cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by Perpetual and described in the forward looking information contained in this press release. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information, which is not a guarantee of performance and is subject to a number of risks or uncertainties, including without limitation those described under "Risk Factors" in Perpetual's Annual Information Form and MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2013 and those included in other reports on file with Canadian securities regulatory authorities which may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com and at Perpetual's website www.perpetualenergyinc.com). Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of Perpetual's management at the time the information is released and Perpetual disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly any such forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as expressly required by applicable securities laws.

Volume Conversions

Barrel of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. In accordance with National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101"), a conversion ratio for natural gas of 6 Mcf:1bbl has been used, which is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, utilizing a conversion on a 6 Mcf:1 bbl basis may be misleading as an indicator of value as the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil, based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil, differ significantly from the energy equivalency of 6 Mcf:1 bbl.

Non-GAAP Measures

This news release contains financial measures that may not be calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in Canada ("GAAP"). Readers are referred to advisories and further discussion on non-GAAP measures contained in the "Advisories - Non-GAAP Measures" section of management's discussion and analysis.

About Perpetual

Perpetual Energy Inc. is a Canadian energy company with a spectrum of resource-style opportunities spanning heavy oil, NGL and bitumen along with a large base of shallow gas assets. Perpetual's shares and convertible debentures are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol "PMT", and "PMT.DB.E", respectively. Further information with respect to Perpetual can be found at its website at www.perpetualenergyinc.com.

The Toronto Stock Exchange has neither approved nor disapproved the information contained herein.

SOURCE Perpetual Energy Inc.



Contact

Perpetual Energy Inc.
Suite 3200, 605 - 5 Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2P 3H5
Telephone: 403 269-4400 Fax: 403 269-4444 Email: info@perpetualenergyinc.com

Susan L. Riddell Rose President and Chief Executive Officer
Cameron R. Sebastian Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer
Claire A. Rosehill Business and Investor Relations Analyst