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Perpetual Energy Inc. releases fourth quarter and year-end 2013 financial and operating results

06.03.2014  |  CNW

CALGARY, March 5, 2014 /CNW/ - (TSX:PMT) - Perpetual Energy Inc. ("Perpetual" or the "Corporation") is pleased to report its fourth quarter and year end 2013 financial and operating results. Overall results show significant gains from 2012, highlighting positive operational and financial momentum in our key diversifying strategies at Mannville for heavy oil and in the Greater Edson area for liquids-rich natural gas. A complete copy of Perpetual's audited consolidated financial statements and related Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") for the year ended December 31, 2013 can be obtained through the Corporation's website at www.perpetualenergyinc.com and SEDAR at www.sedar.com. Perpetual will be hosting a conference call and webcast to review this information at 8:30 a.m., Mountain Time, Thursday, March 6, 2014. See "Conference Call and Webcast" at the end of this press release for participation details.

FOURTH QUARTER 2013 HIGHLIGHTS

Capital Spending

Production

Financial

2013 ANNUAL HIGHLIGHTS

Capital Spending

Production

Financial

2014 OUTLOOK

Perpetual continues to target capital spending in 2014 to be fully funded by 2014 funds flow. The Corporation's Board of Directors has approved a $70 to $80 million capital budget for full calendar year 2014. First quarter spending is on track to be $35 million. The table below summarizes planned drilling activities in accordance with Perpetual's 2014 strategic priorities.

2014 Capital Budget
($ millions, except as noted)
Q1 # Wells Q2 - Q4 # Wells
West Central liquids-rich gas 18 3 (2.0 net) 21 - 26 up to 7 (3.5 net)
Mannville heavy oil 13 11 (9.7 net) 11 - 14 up to 12 (8.3 net)
Shallow gas 4 - 3 - 5 -
Total 35 14 (11.7 net) 35 - 45 19 (11.8 net)

In addition to drilling activities, Perpetual plans to allocate a portion of its 2014 budget to install additional plant and compression equipment at its West Edson facility in order to increase plant capacity to accommodate expected incremental production associated with the West Central drilling program. The capital budget also includes activities focused on maximizing value and mitigating production declines on the Corporation's legacy shallow gas assets through facility optimization projects, workovers and uphole recompletions.

Perpetual estimates that 2014 funds flow will total $80 to $90 million based on current forward commodity prices, with oil and liquids production averaging 3,400 - 3,500 bbl/d and natural gas sales averaging 90 to 95 MMcf/d. The enhanced heat content of Perpetual's liquids-rich gas in West Central Alberta results in premium pricing to AECO market prices.

Sensitivities

Below is a table that shows sensitivities of Perpetual's 2014 forecasted funds flow to operational changes and changes in the business environment:

Funds Flow Sensitivities
($ millions, except as noted) (1)
Change in remainder of 2014
(March to December)

Estimated impact
on 2014 funds flow
Business Environment
Natural gas price at AECO (2) (3) $0.25/Mcf 2.5
Oil price at WTI (2) (3) $US5.00/bbl 0.7
WTI - WCS differential (2) $US5.00/bbl 3.0
Interest rate on bank debt 1% (0.7)
Operational
Natural gas production 5 MMcf/d 6.2
Oil and NGL production 100 bbl/d 1.9
Operating expenses $0.50/boe (3.0)
(1) Base funds flow estimate assumes average March through December forward market prices of: WTI $US 97.63/bbl; WTI-WCS differential $US 22.43/bbl; and AECO $4.68/GJ.
(2) Giving effect to commodity price risk management contracts in place at March 5, 2014.
(3)
Reflects positive change in price; a $US 5.00 decrease in WTI would result in a decrease of $1.8 million in funds flow.
Financial and Operating Highlights THREE MONTHS
Ended December 31
YEAR ENDED
December 31, 2013
($Cdn thousands except volume and per share amounts) 2013 2012 Change 2013 2012 Change
Financial
Oil and natural gas revenue 49,075 44,468 10% 201,294 176,137 14%
Funds flow (1) 12,998 11,158 16% 58,468 49,087 19%
Per share (1) (2) 0.09 0.08 13% 0.39 0.33 18%
Net earnings (loss) (13,745) (56,400) (76%) 7,620 (75,986) 110%
Per share (2) (0.09) (0.38) (76%) 0.05 (0.52) 110%
Total assets 742,288 729,888 2% 742,288 729,888 2%
Net bank debt outstanding (1) 67,201 77,827 (14%) 67,201 77,827 (14%)
Senior notes, at principal amount 150,000 150,000 - 150,000 150,000 -
Convertible debentures, at principal amount 159,779 159,972 - 159,779 159,972 -
Total net debt (1) 376,980 387,799 (3%) 376,980 387,799 (3%)
Capital expenditures
Exploration and development (3) 24,518 21,185 16% 96,684 79,724 21%
Dispositions, net of Acquisitions (483) (6,923) (93%) (70,840) (164,763) (57%)
Interest in Warwick Gas Storage - - - 19,129 - -
Other 2 23 (91%) 120 271 (56%)
Net capital expenditures 24,037 14,285 68% 45,093 (84,768) (153%)
Common shares outstanding (thousands)
End of period 148,490 147,455 1% 148,490 147,455 1%
Weighted average 148,144 147,085 1% 148,144 147,085 1%
Operating
Average production
Natural gas (MMcf/d) (4) 90.3 88.3 2% 88.9 100.2 (11%)
Oil and NGL (bbl/d) (4) 3,509 3,536 (1%) 3,860 3,448 12%
Total (boe/d) (5) 18,559 18,250 2% 18,696 20,142 (7%)
Gas over bitumen deemed production (MMcf/d) (5) 19.5 25.1 (22%) 22.7 26.7 (15%)
Average daily (actual and deemed - boe/d) (4) (5) 21,809 22,240 (2%) 22,479 24,592 (9%)
Average prices
Natural gas, before derivatives ($/Mcf) 3.37 2.99 13% 3.26 2.48 31%
Natural gas, including derivatives ($/Mcf) 3.62 3.56 2% 3.53 3.34 6%
Oil and NGL, before derivatives ($/bbl) 65.35 62.02 5% 67.65 64.26 5%
Oil and NGL, including derivatives ($/bbl) 65.88 71.29 (8%) 66.48 64.13 4%
Barrel of oil equivalent, including derivatives ($/boe) 30.09 31.05 (3%) 30.56 27.59 11%
Drilling (wells drilled gross/net)
Gas 4/2.0 3/1.5 6/3.0 8/5.5
Oil 5/5.0 2/2.0 37/35.7 36/34.6
Total 9/7.0 5/3.5 43/38.7 44/40.1
Success rate (%) 100/100 100/100 100/100 100/100
(1) These are non-GAAP measures. Please refer to "Non-GAAP Measures" below.
(2) Based on weighted average basic or diluted common shares outstanding for the period.
(3) Exploration and development costs include geological and geophysical expenditures.
(4) Production amounts are based on the Corporation's interest before royalty expense.
(5) The deemed production volume describes all gas shut-in or denied production pursuant to a decision report, corresponding order or general bulletin of the Alberta Energy and Utilities Board ("AEUB"), or through correspondence in relation to an AEUB ID 99-1 application. This deemed production volume is not actual gas sales but represents shut-in gas that is the basis of the gas over bitumen financial solution which is received monthly from the Alberta Crown as a reduction against other royalties payable.

Forward-Looking Information

Certain information regarding Perpetual in this news release including management's assessment of future plans and operations and including the information contained under the heading "Outlook" may constitute forward-looking statements under applicable securities laws. The forward-looking information includes, without limitation, statements regarding capital expenditure levels for 2014, prospective drilling activities; forecast production, production type, operations, funds flows, and timing thereof; forecast and realized commodity prices; expected funding, allocation and timing of capital expenditures; projected use of funds flow and anticipated funds flow; planned drilling and development and the results thereof; expected dispositions, anticipated proceeds therefrom and the use of proceeds therefrom; and commodity prices. Various assumptions were used in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts and projections contained in the forward-looking information contained in this press release, which assumptions are based on management analysis of historical trends, experience, current conditions, and expected future developments pertaining to Perpetual and the industry in which it operates as well as certain assumptions regarding the matters outlined above. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks, which could cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by Perpetual and described in the forward looking information contained in this press release. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information, which is not a guarantee of performance and is subject to a number of risks or uncertainties, including without limitation those described under "Risk Factors" in Perpetual's Annual Information Form and MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2013 and those included in other reports on file with Canadian securities regulatory authorities which may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com) and at Perpetual's website (www.perpetualenergyinc.com). Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of Perpetual's management at the time the information is released and Perpetual disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly any such forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as expressly required by applicable securities laws.

Volume Conversions

Barrel of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. In accordance with National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101"), a conversion ratio for natural gas of 6 Mcf:1bbl has been used, which is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, utilizing a conversion on a 6 Mcf:1 bbl basis may be misleading as an indicator of value as the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil, based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil, differ significantly from the energy equivalency of 6 Mcf:1 bbl.

Non-GAAP Measures

This news release contains financial measures that may not be calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in Canada ("GAAP"). Readers are referred to advisories and further discussion on non-GAAP measures contained in the "Significant Accounting Policies and non-GAAP Measures" section of management's discussion and analysis.

Conference Call and Webcast

Perpetual will be hosting a conference call and webcast at 8:30 a.m., Mountain Time, Thursday, March 6, 2013 to review this information. Interested parties are invited to take part in the conference call by dialing one of the following telephone numbers 10 minutes before the start time: Toronto and area 647.427.7450; outside Toronto 888.231.8191. For a replay of this call please dial: 1.855.859.2056, passcode: 6182210 until 8:59 MT, March 13, 2014.

To participate in the live webcast please visit www.perpetualenergyinc.com or http://event.on24.com/r.htm?e=760381&s=1&k=F36C3B5F43B1C617F3D613E36FB7742A. The webcast will be archived and the webcast presentation will be posted on Perpetual's website shortly following the presentation. The Toronto Stock Exchange has neither approved nor disapproved the information contained herein.

About Perpetual

Perpetual Energy Inc. is a Canadian energy company with a spectrum of resource-style opportunities spanning heavy oil, NGL and bitumen along with a large base of shallow gas assets. Perpetual's shares and convertible debentures are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol "PMT", "PMT.DB.D" and "PMT.DB.E", respectively. Further information with respect to Perpetual can be found at its website at www.perpetualenergyinc.com.

The Toronto Stock Exchange has neither approved nor disapproved the information contained herein.

SOURCE Perpetual Energy Inc.



Contact

Perpetual Energy Inc.
Suite 3200, 605 - 5 Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2P 3H5
Telephone: 403 269-4400 Fax: 403 269-4444 Email: info@perpetualenergyinc.com

Susan L. Riddell Rose
President and Chief Executive Officer

Cameron R. Sebastian
Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer